Grok 5: the release date, the promises and what is actually confirmed
Grok 5 is SpaceXSI’s next big model and Musk’s self-declared AGI bet. It has been promised since 2025 and keeps slipping. This tracker sorts every promise, spec and rumor into confirmed, claimed or unproven.
Grok 5 is not out and has no official release date as of October 19, 2026. Musk says it will come within 2026, after Grok 4.8 and 4.9. Today’s newest model is Grok 4.7 (September 21, 2026), and Grok 4.8 is still in training.
Where Grok 5 stands on October 19, 2026
Grok 5 is not released, and SpaceXSI (formerly xAI) has not given an official date. The company’s news page lists no Grok 5 or Grok 4.8 announcement. Its most recent posts are Grok Voice 3.0 on October 14 and The X Subscription on October 12. The newest model you can actually use is Grok 4.7, released September 21, 2026.
What exists instead is a long trail of promises from Elon Musk, a few reported facts about training, and a lot of rumor. This page sorts them, so you can tell which is which.
The road to Grok 5
Musk has said the order is 4.7, then 4.8, then 4.9, then Grok 5. Two steps are done.
- Grok 4.6Released Aug 12, 2026
- Grok 4.7Released Sep 21, 2026. Current model
- Grok 4.8In training. About 2.5T parameters, per Musk
- Grok 4.9No date
- Grok 5No date
Grok 4.8 is the next thing to watch. On September 13 and 14, 2026, Musk said it was finishing its main training run on a new in-house C++ training stack. “grok-4.8” then appeared in the model picker of SpaceXSI’s public Grok Build code on September 29. Prediction markets are cautious: on Polymarket, the next Grok model (4.8 or later) was priced at 13% for release by October 31 and 50% by November 30, as of October 19. Every Grok model so far is compared on our Grok models page.
Every Grok 5 promise so far
| When | What was said | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Grok 5 by the end of 2025 | Missed |
| Nov 2025 | Musk, at a Baron Capital event: Grok 5 in early 2026, about 6 trillion parameters | Missed |
| Early 2026 | A second-quarter 2026 window | Missed |
| Jan 2026 | xAI’s funding announcement says Grok 5 is training on the Colossus 2 cluster (as reported) | Still training |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Grok 5 “within 2026”; Grok 4.6 next week, 4.7 in three to four weeks | 4.6 came Aug 12; 4.7 slipped to Sep 21 |
| Sep 13–14, 2026 | Grok 4.8 and 4.9 come before Grok 5 | 4.8 not released as of Oct 19 |
The pattern matters more than any single date. Grok 4.7 alone missed several promised windows before it shipped. Plan around what is released, not around what is announced.
What Grok 5 is supposed to be: specs and rumors
SpaceXSI has published no parameter count, benchmarks, price or context window for Grok 5. Here is everything people repeat, and how solid it is.
| Claim | Where it comes from | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Training on Colossus 2 in Memphis | xAI funding announcement, January 2026, as reported | Reported |
| About 6 trillion parameters | Musk at a Baron Capital event, November 2025 | Musk’s claim |
| 6 to 10 trillion parameters | Online estimates and roadmap articles | Rumor |
| A 1.5 to 2 million token context window | Community reports | Rumor |
| Trained on SpaceX engineering data | Business Insider, after the August 5 call, as reported | Reported |
| Release within 2026 | Musk, August 5, 2026 | Musk’s claim |
| It will be AGI | Musk on X, September 14, 2026 | Musk’s claim |
| October 2026 previews with more memory and faster reasoning | AI-generated summaries on X | Not found |
For scale: Musk has described Grok 4.7 as about 2.1 trillion parameters and Grok 4.8 as about 2.5 trillion. Those numbers are his, not published specs. See the glossary if terms like tokens or context window are new to you.
The AGI claim
Musk has tied Grok 5 to artificial general intelligence for a year. In late 2025 he gave it about a 10% chance of reaching AGI. On September 14, 2026, asked how close Grok 4.8 would get, he answered: “That will be Grok 5.” He added a hedge in the same thread: “We shall see.”
No definition, benchmark or independent test sits behind the claim. The same day, as BigGo Finance reported, Musk publicly endorsed an essay by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei calling for frontier AI to be paced and independently evaluated. Read the AGI talk as a goal, and judge Grok 5 by what it does once it ships.
Should you wait for Grok 5?
For most people, no. Waiting for a model with no date means waiting indefinitely.
- Using Grok in the app: you get the newest model automatically when it ships. Nothing to wait for. Start with how to use Grok.
- Using Grok Bot: it runs on today’s models and gets better as they do. See what Grok Bot is.
- Building on the API: build on Grok 4.7 now and keep the model name in one setting, so switching later is a one-line change. Prices are on Grok API pricing.
How to know Grok 5 is real
Ignore screenshots and summaries. These are the signals that have come before every real Grok launch:
- An announcement post on SpaceXSI’s news page.
- A grok-5 model name with a price in the developer docs.
- The model showing up in the Grok app’s model picker.
- Early hints in SpaceXSI’s public code, as happened with Grok 4.8 on September 29.
Questions people ask
When is Grok 5 coming out?
There is no official date. On an August 5, 2026 call Musk said it would come within 2026, and in September he said Grok 4.8 and 4.9 come first. As of October 19, 2026, Grok 4.8 is not out yet.
Is Grok 5 out yet?
No. The newest model SpaceXSI has announced is Grok 4.7, released September 21, 2026. No Grok 5 model appears on SpaceXSI’s news page or in its developer model list.
How many parameters will Grok 5 have?
SpaceXSI has not published a number. Musk mentioned about 6 trillion in late 2025. Figures of 6 to 10 trillion circulate online but are unconfirmed.
Will Grok 5 be AGI?
Musk says so, but there is no agreed definition, benchmark or independent test behind the claim. Treat it as a goal, not a feature.
Can I try a Grok 5 preview?
Not that we could find. AI-generated summaries on X mention October 2026 previews, but SpaceXSI has announced none as of October 19, 2026.
- SpaceXSI news page (checked Oct 19, 2026)
- Introducing Grok 4.7 (Sep 21, 2026)
- Benzinga: Musk tells Ron Baron Grok 5 is set for 2026 (Nov 17, 2025)
- OrcaRouter: Grok 5 release date (Aug 13, 2026)
- GeoToolbox: Grok 5 release date and specs (Sep 2026)
- BigGo Finance: Musk says Grok 5 will be the first AGI model (Sep 14, 2026)
- Winzheng: xAI jumps to Grok 4.8 (Sep 16, 2026)
- ArtificialWatch: Grok 4.8 tracker and odds (checked Oct 19, 2026)